ANALYSIS: People's Union - Our Ukraine makes surprising choice to lead Kyiv branch (07/03/05)

ANALYSIS

People's Union - Our Ukraine makes surprising choice to lead Kyiv branch

by Taras Kuzio
Eurasia Daily Monitor

On June 18 President Viktor Yushchenko's new "party of power," People's Union - Our Ukraine (PU-OU), finally held its inaugural congress. Speculation had been rife that Kyiv Mayor Oleksander Omelchenko would become head of the Kyiv branch of PU-OU, but that did not happen. The Kyiv branch chief will be in the best position to be elected Kyiv's mayor in the March 2006 election, which coincides with the parliamentary election.

Instead of Mr. Omelchenko, Our Ukraine parliamentary faction leader Mykola Martynenko was elected head of Kyiv's PU-OU. The head of Kyiv's branch of Our Ukraine, Volodymyr Bondarenko, was elected to lead Kyiv's PU-OU Executive Council. This shift represents a second Orange Revolution, this time against Mayor Omelchenko, who has fallen out of favor with the Yushchenko coalition. Mr. Martynenko will inevitably become the Yushchenko coalition's candidate for mayor of Kyiv in 2006, and Mr. Omelchenko will not be able to rally enough votes to defeat him.

Conflict between Mr. Omelchenko, who heads the marginal Unity (Yednist) Party, and Our Ukraine flared up in March in a by-election near Kyiv. Our Ukraine's candidate won, but Mr. Omelchenko's allies have contested the results in court. Conflict also continues to smolder in various raions of Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast over Our Ukraine's demands to remove corrupt heads of raion state administrations loyal to Mr. Omelchenko.

Another dispute rests over prime land near Kyiv that was given away to government officials in the last two years of Leonid Kuchma's presidency. Mayor Omelchenko was implicated in the land transfer scam in upscale suburbs such as Puscha Vodytsia. Land was sold at bargain prices and then registered in the names of relatives or businesses, making it difficult to trace the real owner (Washington Times, June 19).

Mayor Omelchenko has always had an alliance of convenience with Mr. Yushchenko. He had maintained good relations with President Kuchma, who permitted him to combine the mayor's position with that of head of Kyiv's state administration, a local governor appointed by the executive. This cozy arrangement led to accusations by Our Ukraine supporters that Mr. Omelchenko adopted a "wait and see" approach to the Orange Revolution, hoping to come out on top regardless of who won the 2004 presidential election. Unity was divided over whether to support Mr. Yushchenko as their presidential candidate in 2004 or, as an alternative to Viktor Yanukovych, Mayor Omelchenko (see Eurasia Daily Monitor, August 6, 2004).

This "wait and see" trait is common to the former high-ranking Communist nomenklatura. As a chairman of Parliament, Leonid Kravchuk also sat on the fence during the August 1991 hard-line Moscow putsch and, only after the coup was defeated, supported Ukraine's declaration of independence and the banning of the Communist Party.

Our Ukraine supporters in Kyiv have pointed out that Mayor Omelchenko never once visited the maidan (Independence Square) during the Orange Revolution. Instead he waited until New Year's Eve - five days after Mr. Yushchenko won the December 26 repeat runoff. At the time, Our Ukraine's Kyiv leader said, "We, unfortunately, did not feel any support from Oleksander Omelchenko in Kyiv." Mr. Bondarenko continued, "We were on the side of Yushchenko, but Omelchenko was on the side of Kuchma" (Ukrayinska Pravda, June 19).

Mr. Bondarenko revealed that Mayor Omelchenko had actually tried to move the central stage of the Orange Revolution from the maidan to another area of Kyiv. Although Orange supporters partially took over Kyiv's Town Hall, which also doubles as the residence of the city's state administration, they did not have Mr. Omelchenko's permission.

When 46 Kyiv city deputies declared Mr. Yushchenko the winner after round 2, Mayor Omelchenko pressured 12 of them to withdraw their signatures.

At the same time, Mr. Omelchenko's alliance-of-convenience was important in blocking a takeover of Kyiv by Viktor Medvedchuk's Social Democratic Party - United (SDPU). Negative public opinion also helped Mr. Omelchenko in blocking the SDPU from taking over Kyiv. Mr. Omelchenko trounced SDPU leading personality Hryhorii Surkis in the May 1999 Kyiv mayoral election by 76.4 percent to 16.5 percent. Mr. Surkis' "trusted person," a requirement in Ukrainian electoral legislation, was none other than former President Kravchuk, who is now head of the SDPU parliamentary faction.

Messrs. Omelchenko and Yushchenko collaborated in removing Mr. Medvedchuk as first vice-chairman of Parliament in December 2001. Mr. Yushchenko saw this as revenge after Medvedchuk had orchestrated a parliamentary vote of no confidence in his government in April of that year.

The impact of the Kuchmagate crisis, which began in November 2000 and led to anti-Kuchma protests in Kyiv, also played a role. A second factor was the rise of Unity, Mr. Omelchenko's mini "party of power," which polled 11.62 percent in Kyiv, its highest vote in Ukraine, but still less than Our Ukraine's 28.05 percent in Kyiv. Throughout Ukraine, Unity only obtained 1.09 percent, compared to Our Ukraine's 23.57 percent.

The inaugural congress of the People's Union - Our Ukraine relegated Mr. Omelchenko to the ranks of the older generation, which the Orange Revolution has forced aside to make way for the middle and younger generation (Eurasia Daily Monitor, February 9).

Dr. Taras Kuzio is visiting professor at the Elliot School of International Affairs, George Washington University. The articles above, which originally appeared in The Jamestown Foundation's Eurasia Daily Monitor, are reprinted here with permission from the foundation (www.jamestown.org).

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